Sullivan: Russia launches a surprise attack on Ukraine next week

2022-05-19 0 By

Overnight, the situation in Eastern Europe changed dramatically.At a White House press conference early yesterday, National Security Adviser Sullivan said Russia would likely launch a surprise attack on Ukraine by February 20.Then, led by the United States, key Allies Britain, Japan, South Korea, Australia and New Zealand, as well as the Baltic states, gave their citizens 48 hours to leave Ukraine, and staff at the American embassy in Kiev were asked to leave before Russia invaded.Later, NATO intelligence leaked to the media, and the United States informed its military Allies that the exact time of the ground invasion was February 16…….White House side of the battle than the Federal Reserve’s interest rate also big, engage Wall Street do not know oneself in the end is by which side to frighten urine……Although Britain and the United States have been sending equipment and soldiers to Ukraine, and some media have hyped that a war between The United States and Russia is inevitable, in the opinion of the political office, Britain and the United States will never shed blood for Ukraine.Even if Russia did invade, Britain and the United States would only curse and then impose economic sanctions, and dare not experience the cold wind in Russia.The Us is playing the Ukraine card in order to seize eastern Europe’s interests and regain control of a Europe that has spun out of control in the Trump era.Similarly, Russia would not be foolish enough to blitz Ukraine with troops that would not only gain nothing, but also push across friends who might be united.To do so would require both propaganda at home and surprise, not flexing muscles with 100,000 troops on the Ukrainian border.This time, let the Russian public see NATO in the emperor’s deterrence only dare to push, to obtain the post-epidemic era of ultra-high support, is the “iron man” Putin’s strategic intention this time.In short, Mr. Biden needs to tell America’s Allies that we worked together to push Back Mr. Putin, and Mr. Putin needs to tell the Russian people that he scared off a paper tiger when he was angry.After a series of confrontations and extreme pressure, everyone achieved a win-win situation.So it’s going to be putin versus Zelensky, macron versus Biden.By choosing Mr Macron, we are opting for the “Normandy model”, in which France and Germany take the lead in solving the Ukraine problem, Russia gives up its energy interests, France and Germany sell out Ukraine, and Europeans sort out Europe themselves.To choose Biden is to choose the “NATO model”, in which Britain and the US lead the solution to the Ukraine issue, Russia sells out France and Germany, Britain and the US sells out Ukraine, and let the powers outside the European continent mediate.Macron’s upcoming election and Biden’s upcoming midterm election will play a significant role in determining who will lead the resolution of the Ukraine issue.And tonight, two phone calls between Putin and Biden and Macron will roughly determine which model carries more weight.But in either case, the result would be to sell out Ukraine, leaving Mr Zelensky, a comedian, to take the blame for signing the Treaty of Shimonoseki.This is similar to the scenario of “three Kingdoms intervention and Liao Liao” in those days. It seems that Japan was aggressive, but in fact, Russia, France and Germany in continental Europe and Britain and America in maritime countries respectively encouraged Japan to put pressure on The Qing Dynasty.Then the great powers while fighting to fight, while forcing Japan to retreat, and eat the stomach of liaodong (Eastern Ukraine) spit out part of the credit, so that the Qing dynasty to the five states respectively to sell a series of interests and privileges.Only last time it was Russia, France and Germany who played good cop, this time it was Britain and France who played good cop, and Ukraine took the place of the Qing Empire.The next Ukraine, mainly take the French and German route, the solution will be faster, around March can start to cool down, go to the British and American route, the solution of the problem of Ukraine will probably drag to the end of the year, eastern Europe will continue to shock.But either way, if Mr Zelensky fails, he will have to give up the blame for various interests and leave Ukrainian politics uncalmly.With the end of Zelensky, down Ukraine, the probability will enter the agent game stage.The pro-Russian, pro-European and pro-American political forces in The country will fight for the highest power in Kiev, just like the north’s direct fengwan system, with the support of the great powers.As far as we are concerned, the longer the drama of the three countries’ intervention in Ukraine’s east continues, the better, because after Ukraine’s east is settled, the United States will turn around to engage in the Far East……